Why Do We Even Try To Predict The Future?

Below is a synopsis of this investment report:

  • Annual predictions for the S&P 500 and other equity indices are almost always wrong, and the ones who get it right are nothing more than lucky.
  • Equities are far too volatile to conduct an annual forecast with any level of statistical accuracy over such a short time horizon.
  • Forecasts are not entirely useless, however, and money managers and investors can benefit greatly from the exercise of creating such forecasts.


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